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- <text id=94TT1693>
- <title>
- Dec. 05, 1994: Italy:Tarnished Armor
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1994
- Dec. 05, 1994 50 for the Future
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- ITALY, Page 81
- Tarnished Armor
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p> The man who rode to the country's rescue now finds himself under
- attack. Can he remain in the saddle?
- </p>
- <p>By Frederick Painton--Reported by Nicola Lombardo/Milan
- </p>
- <p> The ingredients of a full-blown political crisis were gathering
- last week over Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi's fragile coalition
- government. But none was more threatening than the challenge
- directed at Berlusconi personally, the tycoon who had been swept
- into power earlier this year on a tide of anticorruption sentiment.
- Even as he was host to a U.N. conference in Naples on combatting
- organized crime, the Prime Minister, once dubbed Il Cavaliere,
- or the knight, found himself among the knaves as he was formally
- placed under investigation by magistrates engaged in a bribery
- probe of Fininvest, his business empire.
- </p>
- <p> "I have never corrupted anyone," was Berlusconi's indignant
- response to the accusations, which he claimed were part of a
- campaign aimed at his conservative government by leftist magistrates.
- The Prime Minister contended that his companies never attempted
- bribery but were victims of corrupt tax inspectors who had extorted
- money in exchange for favorable tax audits. Although the judicial
- notification implied no guilt, Berlusconi found himself directly
- caught up in the debate over the apparent conflict of interest
- between being Prime Minister and holding onto control of Fininvest,
- a $7 billion-a-year conglomerate that dominates the Italian
- media. Belatedly, the Prime Minister said he was ready to make
- a public offering of a majority of shares in his three television
- channels.
- </p>
- <p> Key political players weighed the risks of a Berlusconi fall
- eight months after national elections had decimated Italy's
- traditional political parties. If new elections were held, no
- one could be sure how voters would react. In first-round municipal
- balloting two weeks ago, Berlusconi's party, Forza Italia, dropped
- from its 30% share last June to only 12%, largely because of
- public resentment against his drive to shrink the bloated welfare
- state by reforming government pensions. During his run for the
- Prime Minister's job, Berlusconi had promised a new economic
- miracle in which a million new jobs would be created; now he
- was threatening to give Italy its first serious postwar dose
- of austerity.
- </p>
- <p> Berlusconi was not ready to concede. If any of the five parties
- in his government switched allegiance, he said, it would be
- "a Judas," and he would ask for new elections; he would make
- no deals "over the heads of the electorate." He had the agreement
- of President Oscar Luigi Scalfaro, who warned party leaders
- against forging the kind of Byzantine deals that produced paralytic
- governments in the past and distorted the voters' expressed
- will.
- </p>
- <p> Analysts speculated about at least two scenarios. The first
- was the simplest. Within the coming week, the budget bill, which
- has passed the Chamber of Deputies, goes before the Senate,
- where the Berlusconi government lacks a majority. If the bill
- is defeated, the Prime Minister may carry out his threat to
- resign and force new elections. If it passes, coalition partner
- Umberto Bossi, head of the Northern League, may resign or switch
- allegiance to protest against Berlusconi's leadership.
- </p>
- <p> Should Berlusconi go, the country may wind up with what Italians
- call a "constituent" government of national unity: representation
- by all parties and a nonpartisan Prime Minister who would draft
- a new constitution. Then elections would be called. That was
- how democracy returned to Italy after World War II. It would
- be a good way to start all over, a new beginning that Italy
- desperately needs.
- </p>
- </body>
- </article>
- </text>
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